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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
HITCHIN TOWN vs. MERTHYR TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Hitchin Town vs. Merthyr Town.
| Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Hitchin Town (ELO score: 2752) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Merthyr Town (ELO score: 2954) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Home | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 MAR 2012 | CONF | Matlock Town (2752) |
0 - 1 | Chester (2954) |
5.8 |
A historical comparison of Hitchin Town's and Merthyr Town's ELO scores.
| Hitchin Town | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2752 | 2954.1 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3088.2 Saturday, February 25, 2017 |
3670 Saturday, September 3, 1921 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2750.2 Saturday, April 20, 2024 |
2756.2 Saturday, February 19, 2022 |
A summary of all historical matches between Hitchin Town and Merthyr Town.
| Venue | Played | Hitchin Town wins |
Draws | Merthyr Town wins |
Hitchin Town goals |
Merthyr Town goals |
Hitchin Town SR% |
Merthyr Town SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| HOME | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| AWAY | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 OCT 2017 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2966) |
2 - 0 | Merthyr Town (3017) |
15.6 |
| 12 AUG 2017 | CONF | Merthyr Town (3054) |
0 - 0 | Hitchin Town (3040) |
1.5 |
| 26 APR 2017 | CUP | Merthyr Town (3056) |
1 - 1 | Hitchin Town (3048) |
1.2 |
| 21 FEB 2017 | CONF | Merthyr Town (3046) |
2 - 2 | Hitchin Town (3079) |
0.1 |
| 24 SEP 2016 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2999) |
1 - 1 | Merthyr Town (2968) |
1.9 |
| 19 DEC 2015 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2972) |
2 - 0 | Merthyr Town (2858) |
8.8 |
| 29 AUG 2015 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2886) |
5 - 1 | Hitchin Town (2954) |
20.4 |
| 28 FEB 2009 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2806) |
2 - 2 | Merthyr Tydfil (2957) |
2.9 |
| 20 SEP 2008 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2889) |
3 - 2 | Hitchin Town (2857) |
7.7 |
| 19 APR 2008 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2892) |
1 - 3 | Merthyr Tydfil (2908) |
16.4 |
| 22 JAN 2008 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2868) |
3 - 0 | Hitchin Town (2814) |
12.5 |
| 24 MAR 2007 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2827) |
1 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (2908) |
10.8 |
| 6 JAN 2007 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2952) |
5 - 1 | Hitchin Town (2942) |
15.5 |
| 18 FEB 2006 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2951) |
1 - 2 | Hitchin Town (2895) |
13.1 |
| 17 SEP 2005 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2847) |
1 - 2 | Merthyr Tydfil (3004) |
7.2 |
| 16 APR 2005 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2958) |
1 - 1 | Hitchin Town (2828) |
5 |
| 4 DEC 2004 | CONF | Hitchin Town (2912) |
0 - 2 | Merthyr Tydfil (2996) |
13.9 |